Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.171869 0.203139 0.238143 0.280184 0.329261 0.384694 0.452013
2025-08-10 0.119716 0.158100 0.205710 0.268917 0.350431 0.451807 0.587235
2025-08-17 0.089174 0.128140 0.180371 0.255133 0.358978 0.497642 0.696305
2025-08-24 0.073477 0.113185 0.169909 0.256240 0.383582 0.563635 0.836450
2025-08-31 0.059776 0.097945 0.155632 0.248303 0.392386 0.606522 0.947128
2025-09-07 0.051867 0.089783 0.150021 0.251515 0.416783 0.673340 1.099046
2025-09-14 0.045070 0.082090 0.143677 0.252099 0.436283 0.733793 1.246797
2025-09-21 0.038796 0.074144 0.135562 0.248236 0.447375 0.781176 1.377686
2025-09-28 0.034001 0.067986 0.129488 0.246744 0.461762 0.834764 1.523697
2025-10-05 0.031854 0.066364 0.131166 0.259086 0.501572 0.935389 1.760680
2025-10-12 0.030425 0.065880 0.134798 0.275335 0.550100 1.055925 2.044902
2025-10-19 0.028268 0.063575 0.134573 0.284024 0.585151 1.155141 2.299551
2025-10-26 0.025075 0.058821 0.129278 0.282890 0.602846 1.227256 2.517937
2025-11-02 0.021441 0.052527 0.119987 0.272454 0.600972 1.262341 2.670411
2025-11-09 0.018094 0.046277 0.109814 0.258596 0.590020 1.277857 2.785135
2025-11-16 0.016329 0.043437 0.106712 0.259728 0.611006 1.360353 3.045637
2025-11-23 0.014197 0.039305 0.100015 0.251688 0.610628 1.397774 3.214837
2025-11-30 0.013021 0.037396 0.098269 0.254943 0.636124 1.493295 3.519340
2025-12-07 0.011832 0.035239 0.095588 0.255535 0.655405 1.577002 3.806278
2025-12-14 0.010559 0.032620 0.091346 0.251621 0.663329 1.635725 4.042515
2025-12-21 0.009547 0.030553 0.088221 0.250110 0.676925 1.708888 4.319738
2025-12-28 0.009218 0.030438 0.090307 0.262612 0.727425 1.874646 4.833502
2026-01-04 0.009047 0.030775 0.093688 0.279072 0.790115 2.076161 5.453689